Occasional Paper Series, Central Eurasia Project, Open Society Foundations
more open – more secure against threats such as narco trafficking and cross–border extremism and more open to licit civilian crossings and lucrative trade flows.Dr. Gavrilis will assess programs funded by the United States, European Union, United Nations, and other sponsors; discuss the accomplishments and limits that these programs face on the ground, particularly in Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan; and present recommendations for policymakers and the donor community as they prepare for a major change in the security environment in neighboring Afghanistan.
with Nazif Shahrani, Professor, Indiana University-Bloomington
In his presentation Professor Sharhani will discuss the following key questions: What are the most persistent challenges facing Afghanistan and Central Asian republics to over come economic stagnation, increasing poverty, inequality, oppression, radicalism, and terrorism, dependency on outside powers and looming instability and uncertainty in the region? How will the US & NATO withdrawal of combat forces from Afghanistan in 2014 affect political stability in the region? What are the prospects for averting further uncertainty and instability within the region any time soon?
NATO members are exiting from Afghanistan at different speeds, dictated by pressures from their domestic public opinions. This withdrawal has re-launched debates on the security of the Central Asian region. In the years to come, the post-2014 changes in the regional landscape will intersect with domestic evolutions including changes in political leadership, in demographics, and the end of the Soviet legacy. GW’s Central Asia Program seeks to participate in the policy debate on Central Asia by providing current research on the different sources of potential insecurity in the region.
Deconstructing the ‘Spillover’ Narrative
Afghan Spillover Oversell: The Greater Danger of Self-Inflicted Harm in Central Asia
The Closing of Central Asia’s Borders
Drug-Trafficking: Identifying the Real Challenges
Dilemmas of Democratization: The Problems of Transitioning from Authoritarian Rule in Kyrgyzstan andImplications for other Countries in the Region
My Property, your Courts: The International Litigation of Contested Central Asian Assets
Regulating Private Security Companies in Central Asia
Effective resolution of water related issues as a crucial factor for security in Central Asia
The Crisis of Consistency in Uzbekistan
Redistribution of oil revenues in Kazakhstan: excessive expectations from the population?
Kyrgyzstan: When Consolidation Fails
Statecraft in Tajikistan: A blunt instrument for a fine task?
Islamic “revival” in Central Asia: Social trend or political threat?
Geostrategic factors in the Islamist militant threat to central Asia
Activities of Central Asian Islamic militant organizations on the internet and social media