Central Asia Policy Brief No. 7, January 2013
By Antonio Giustozzi
The main axis of intra-Taliban tension is between the Peshawar Shura and the Quetta Shura, there having been a significant transfer of power from Quetta to Peshawar in recent years.
In the short term, a formal split of the Taliban would provide a vital breathing space for the Kabul government, whose leverage in potential negotiations would be strongly enhanced.
Crises of growth can only be defined as such ex-post. They result in a stronger and more united organization, but are serious crises nonetheless that may also engender the risk of organizational collapse.